Mass Timber's Meteoric Rise is Literal and Long-Lasting | Morningstar

2022-04-29 19:09:22 By : Mr. Robin Huang

Described as the “last best chance to get runaway climate change under control”, the COP26 summit resulted in numerous pledges made by countries and entities on reducing carbon emissions, commencing environmental restoration, and investing in green initiatives. While targets and pathways vary, it underscores the task ahead to limit global temperature rises. 

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), nearly 40% of global carbon emissions originate from the construction process and operation of buildings. At the same time, a Marsh McLennan report anticipates global construction output to grow 42% by 2030. These figures suggest the real estate development industry may face pressure to find opportunities to support COP26 objectives. 

As an innovation in the industry, mass timber construction emits significantly less carbon than traditional concrete and metal structures, while modular construction ensures usability across many building types.

This article reviews some of the concerns over structural strength, fire safety, regulatory compatibility, cost savings and the sustainability of increased forestry. It then examines current mass timber buildings and projects and looks at their viability as an alternative material.

Mass timber’s construction can be traced back to Austria and Germany in the 1970s. It spread across Europe in the 1990s with the development of cross-laminated timber (CLT). In North America it has become an emerging market over the past several years.

CLT describes a category of engineered wood products made by compressing and gluing three layers or more of millimeters-thick wood together, allowing for off-site manufacturing and use as building components, such as large wood panels or load-bearing structural columns and beams, secured in place using fasteners or adhesives. Mass timber can be built to similar strength ratings to concrete and steel while weighing significantly less.

A substitute for carbon-intensive steel and concrete, mass timber can be used as supplementary or replacement material to steel and concrete builds or in a full timber frame structure. For contractors, on-site assembly is often completed with simple hand tools and minimal heavy equipment. 

The timber itself can keep carbon out of the atmosphere as long as it is not burned or destroyed. With the UN projecting global urban populations to increase by almost 50% by 2050, mass timber can be an alternative approach to help limit global temperature rises as demand for buildings rises.

While costs will vary depending on the region, application, size, and scope of each project, in Europe, CLT is estimated to cost between $2,300 and $2,900 per square meter, which is higher than comparable concrete components.

In the US, a 2021 study by US architectural firm LPA Design found CLT would cost approximately $10 more per square foot than a conventional steel and concrete building in a commercial office application. 

Despite the cost delta, this gap can be overcome through cost savings elsewhere in projects. Incorporating more modular components in designs over bespoke components, for instance, can help reduce costs. Global CLT production capacity in 2020 was estimated at 2.8 million cubic meters, with Europe and North America accounting for the largest proportion at 48% and 43%, respectively.  

CLT building components can also be mass-produced and pre-assembled off-site before site delivery, reducing development lead times and labour costs. And, as CLT components weigh about 30% less than concrete equivalents, additional savings can be found via lower transportation costs, creating smaller building foundations, reduced crane and heavy equipment rental needs, lower interior finishing costs and less material waste, which also offsets the initially higher outlay.

The production process for mass timber (compressing wood layers and chemical treatment) gives components their tensile strength. Being only a fraction of the density of concrete and steel with comparable strength ratings means mass timber products are lighter and have higher strength-to-weight ratios.

All that allows for smaller building foundations while supporting loads comparable to steel components. Other benefits to mass timber include resilience against lateral loads without distorting or breaking, such as high winds and earthquake-related forces, which are important characteristics for buildings in seismic zones or at risk of high wind buffeting.

While wood is perceived as flammable material, mass timber is inherently fire resistant. This is achieved as the outer surface chars when exposed to fire, acting as insulation and delaying the effects of heat on the structural core, slowing the progression of flames.

External tests with CLT panel walls have seen it withstand 982 degrees Celcius heat for over three hours, well beyond the two-hour rating required in building codes. The International Code Council (ICC), a body governing universal building standards, set fire resistance ratings as part of the 2021 IBC mass timber building-related amendments and the International Fire Code, further legitimising mass timber as a safe building material.

And speaking of regulation, since 2015, the International Building Code (IBC) has included provisions for mass timber materials being used in buildings. In 2018, ICC had voted to recommend mass timber products, which culminated in the 2021 IBC code, which introduced 14 amendments, including the introduction of three new construction types for mass timber buildings that allow for up to 18 floors.

Eurocode 5, a European Union design standard governing building design and engineering using timber, was updated in 2019 (the first major revision in 15 years) to include CLT material and load-bearing standards. The states of California, Oregon, Washington and Utah, plus cities like Denver and New York, have amended their building codes to allow mass timber projects to build taller. 

One misconception is that mass timber demand requires harvesting larger trees and cause deforestation. With wood being a renewable resource, it can be regenerated using sustainable forest management practices.

Mass timber generally uses younger, fast-growth trees (such as spruce) smaller than 11 inches in diameter on average. Combined with responsible forestry practices, it leaves old-growth trees untouched. According to the United Nations’ The State of the World’s Forests 2020 report, some of the largest uses contributing to global deforestation are agriculture (commercial and local) and mining, accounting for 73% and 7%, respectively.

Across the EU, member states have enacted national forestry legislation to ensure sustainable forestry, which increased forest coverage in Europe over the past 30 years. In the US, a 2018 US Forest Service report found that 67% of the country’s forest land was legally available for harvesting, but less than 2% saw any tree removal each year.

Developed by New Land Enterprises and slated for completion in the fall of 2022, the 259 unit, 25-story residential tower is reported to be North America’s tallest hybrid timber building at 284 feet. The hybrid timber and concrete structure (the latter material for its foundation and core structural stability) received a federal grant from the US Forest Service to assess mass timber’s capabilities in meeting US building code regulations. New Land Enterprises says using timber beams, slabs and columns will offset enough CO2 to power 1,200 homes each year versus using concrete.

Commissioned by Columbia Property Trust, 80 M street was originally built as a traditional steel and concrete office building in 2001. Demand for adding further density to existing business districts whilst adhering to municipal building codes (which limited building heights to 130 feet tall) and foundation weight constraints, demonstrated mass timber’s ability to be an added main element into an existing build. Despite adding two additional floors and 105,000 square feet of space to the seven-storey structure, the inherent lightness of mass timber did not require additional foundational reinforcement, while its prefabricated components avoided significant on-site disruptions for existing tenants. The addition project is scheduled for completion by mid-2022.

Sara Kulturhus (Skellefteå, Sweden)

Built by the architectural firm White Arkitekter, Sara Kulturhus is a cultural centre with a hotel on its premises in Northern Sweden. Completed in September 2021, this 323,000 square foot structure contains exhibition halls and stages, a library, and a 20-storey hotel. Save for the underground structure and some load-bearing steel girders in the foyer, the rest of the structural components were made from mass timber harvested within 30 miles of Skellefteå and milled into prefabricated components, with the hotel portion constructed by stacking self-supporting boxes in place. The timber used is projected to store about 6,000 tons of CO2, with solar panels and efficient energy systems further minimizing its carbon footprint.

While mass timber may not be suitable for every project, it can play a huge role in the future of construction. UNEP’s 2020 Emissions Gap Report identified that buildings and cities are among the six sectors that will play a key role in limiting temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius, especially as timber sequesters carbon and is renewable.

Modular designs to enable off-site assembly, reduced on-site construction time, lighter-weight components and less material waste can realise cost savings. The ability for mass timber components to be reused is another major positive, as the concept of transitioning to a circular economy gains traction.

At Sustainalytics, we anticipate mass timber will grow in appeal to consumers and developers over the next several years. Drivers include further global building code changes that allow for taller wood construction projects, technological advances in material and engineering solutions to allow for more cost-effective and widespread adoption of mass timber, and increased investor and consumer awareness.

Justin Cheng is ESG research senior analyst for the insurance, real estate and asset management sectors at Sustainalytics, a Morningstar company

The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell a security or securities noted within nor should it be viewed as a communication intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. The information contained within should not be a person's sole basis for making an investment decision. Please contact your financial professional before making an investment decision.

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